( obligatory table of contents post for context: https://cohost.org/NireBryce/post/1425246-the-book-seems-good )
Food delivery apps rely on an unsustainable business model. In 2020, a pandemic year when most of us stayed home, DoorDash lost $139 million and Grubhub lost $156 million. Itâs hard to find numbers for Uber Eats, but Uber itself lost $6.8 billionâand thatâs better than its $8.5 billion loss in 2019. And itâs unsustainable for individual investors, too; food delivery doesnât work for anybody. The driversâgig workers with no benefits or job securityâare poorly paid. The services hurt restaurants: theyâre not profitable for a whole bunch of reasons, they donât bring in incremental sales, and a restaurantâs reputation suffers when the delivery service screws up. Even the customers donât fare well: theyâre hit with service fees and higher prices and suffer all sorts of delivery problems. The only reason that this market even exists is that venture capital firms like SoftBank are willing to pour tens of billions of dollars into it, hoping that someday they might capture enough restaurant industry profits to turn a profit of their own. This investment strategy is a hack: market capitalism is supposed to use the uncoordinated collective wisdom of buyers to influence sellers. Venture capital funding prevents that from happening; it inhibits buyersâ agency.
Venture capital (VC) as a funding model traces its origins back hundreds of years but didnât really take off until the 1980s. It was a key player in the rise of early tech companies and in the inflation and burst of the dot-com bubble in 2001. And itâs grown steadily since then: in 2010, the global venture capital market was $50 billion; in 2019, it was $295 billion. I have personally benefited from venture capital; I sold my first VC-backed company to BT in 2006, and my second to IBM in 2016.
Venture capital itself is not a hack. The hack is when unprofitable companies use VC funding to ignore the dynamics of the market economy. We donât want some central planner to decide which businesses should remain operational and which should close down. But this is exactly what happens when venture capital firms become involved. The injection of VC money means that companies donât need to compete with each other in the traditional manner, or worry about the normal laws of supply and demand. They can do what would normally be crazy thingsâgive away their products, pay extravagant salaries, sustain enormous financial losses, provide a service that actually harms peopleâbecause of that external funding source. Itâs basically central planning by elite investors, something that would be called communism if the government did it.
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These examples are not the same as bad investments or even fraudulent bad investments. Quibi was a venture-backed company that secured over $1.75 billion in funding pre-launch, touting the concept of ten-minute-or-less episodes of content, but shut down just six months after launch after minimal adoption. Elizabeth Holmes founded and ran Theranos on venture capital without ever creating a successful product, and eventually fleeced investors to the tune of $1 billion over several years. Those are both examples of the market working normally, albeit with buyersâin this case, investorsâmaking bad buying decisions and in the Theranos case out-and-out fraud.
As a whole, the VC system subverts market capitalism in many ways. It warps markets, allowing companies to charge prices that donât reflect the true cost or value of what theyâre selling. It permits unprofitable enterprises and unsustainable business models to thrive and proliferate. It also warps the market for talentâemployeesâespecially in the tech sector. And finally, it warps entire market categories, like transportation, housing, and the media. Uber and Lyft, for example, have created an unsustainable market for hired-car rides by charging artificially low prices that do not accurately reflect the value of driversâ labor.VC funding is also a hack on innovation. By favoring financial returns over substantive product improvements, it prioritizes certain kinds of innovation and ignores others. To a VC-funded company, all that matters is return on investment. So if one of the goals of a market economy is to incentivize innovation, VC funding subverts that goal. VC investors expect to recover their investment in ten years or less, and thatâs how they steer their companies.
Similarly, VC culture only rewards endeavors that realize a very high rate of return. Investors bankroll hundreds of companies with different ideas and business models, knowing that almost all of them will failâand that the few wild successes will more than pay for the rest. So VC-funded managers are motivated to âswing for the fencesâ rather than grow sustainable, long-term businesses. This is why VC-funded companies can lose so much money, doing all sorts of societal damage along the way. Those losses are paid for by the successes: âunicorns,â in VC-speak.
Private equity allows for another hack, and thatâs debt financing. When private equity firms take on a majority stake to acquire companies, they can use less of their equity and rely on debt. They can use this to saddle the firms they acquire with debt, extract money from them, leave them with more debt, then sell them for even more profitâwith all the debtors left holding the (empty) bag. Consider the case of Greensill Capital, which collapsed spectacularly in 2021. Its unsustainable expansion over the course of ten yearsâfrom supply-chain finance startup, to multinational middleman with a $4.6 million debt load, to insolvencyâwas accelerated by investments and loans from SoftBank, who made millions in funds available in spite of the companyâs increasingly fishy accounting. Thereâs nothing illegal about any of this. VC funding and private equity are such a normal part of our economy that it might seem odd to call them hacks. But they are; theyâre hacks of pretty much everything the market is supposed to do. No one calls it a hack; everyone just calls it âdisruptiveâ and âinnovative.â That itâs both legal and accepted doesnât change the fact that money and power decide what behavior is accepted and who gets a seat at the gaming table.
the book seems good for everything except what you'd traditionally think of as hacking, and then the oral histories etc there are, I'd say mid.
selected works, describing opponents more than allies:
16. Hacking Heaven
- Luxury Real Estate
- Hacking the Market
- "Too Big to Fail"
- Venture Capital and Private Equity
- Hacking and Wealth
- Legal Loopholes
- Hacking Bureaucracy
- Undermining Regulations
- Jurisdictional Interactions
- Administrative Burdens
- Hidden Provisions in Legislation
- Must-Pass Legislation
- Delegating and Delaying Legislation
- Hacking Voting Eligibility
- Other Election Hacks
- Money in Politics
obligatory ToC dump:
Introduction
PART 1: HACKING 101
- What Is Hacking?
- Hacking Systems
- What Is a System?
- The Hacking Life Cycle
- The Ubiquity of Hacking
PART 2: BASIC HACKS AND DEFENSES
- ATM Hacks
- Casino Hacks
- Airline Frequent-Flier Hacks
- Sports Hacks
- Hacks Are Parasitical
- Defending against Hacks
- More Subtle Hacking Defenses
- Removing Potential Hacks in the Design Phase
- The Economics of Defense
- Resilience
PART 3: HACKING FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
- Hacking Heaven
- Hacking Banking
- Hacking Financial Exchanges
- Hacking Computerized Financial Exchanges
- Luxury Real Estate
- Societal Hacks Are Often Normalized
- Hacking the Market
- "Too Big to Fail"
- Venture Capital and Private Equity
- Hacking and Wealth
PART 4: HACKING LEGAL SYSTEMS
- Hacking Laws
- Legal Loopholes
- Hacking Bureaucracy
- Hacking and Power
- Undermining Regulations
- Jurisdictional Interactions
- Administrative Burdens
- Hacking Common Law
- Hacking as Evolution
PART 5: HACKING POLITICAL SYSTEMS
- Hidden Provisions in Legislation
- Must-Pass Legislation
- Delegating and Delaying Legislation
- The Context of a Hack
- Hacking Voting Eligibility
- Other Election Hacks
- Money in Politics
- Hacking to Destruction
PART 6: HACKING COGNITIVE SYSTEMS
- Cognitive Hacks
- Attention and Addiction
- Persuasion
- Trust and Authority
- Fear and Risk
- Defending against Cognitive Hacks
- A Hierarchy of Hacking
PART 7: HACKING AI SYSTEMS
- Artificial Intelligence and Robotics
- Hacking Al
- The Explainability Problem
- Humanizing Al
- Al and Robots Hacking Us
- Computers and Al Are Accelerating Societal Hacking
- When Als Become Hackers
- Reward Hacking
- Defending against Al Hackers
- A Future of Al Hackers
- Governance Systems for Hacking
Concluding Thoughts
Acknowledgments
Notes
Index
