one really funny detail about People Who Think The Singularity is Real And Will Happen is like.... how would the early parts of the hockey stick BEFORE the magical god-computer raptures everyone work lol
"exponentially more transistors" doesn't mean the people who USE the transistors to actually Do things will suddenly start building knowledge and expertise any faster
like if you earnestly believe that the rate of technological advancement increases exponentially, that implies we're gonna hit a point where you spend 20 years learning a discipline and then WHOOPS we've ADVANCED it and now you gotta relearn a whole new framework for understandWHOOPS your whole career got upended agaiWHOO
wow it's almost like all these dudes who think AGI is just around the corner do not in fact possess deep technical knowledge in any of the subjects they claim to be revolutionizing