jckarter

everyone already knows i'm a dog

the swift programming language is my fault to some degree. mostly here to see dogs, shitpost, fix old computers, and/or talk about math and weird computer programming things. for effortposts check the #longpost pinned tag. asks are open.


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jckarter

BlueSpaceCanary
@BlueSpaceCanary

(Porting from an tweets I posted)

One really ✨fun✨ thing about financialized capitalism is that the saying "the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent" applies much more consistently to normal people than to the ultrawealthy and their pet financial institutions. What makes it so ✨fun✨ is that it means only the ultrawealthy can really profit from recognizing irrational, unhinged behavior by their own class.

Take Tesla. Its valuation has been very obviously out of line with reality by at least an order of magnitude for a couple years now! But only rich people with access to a) huge reserves, and b) finance managers & sophisticated financial instruments could short it with any kind of financial security, because those things let them make large bets while keeping their risk controlled.

I think this is one of the features of financialized capitalism that have made it so stable: normal working people with expert (or even hobbyist) knowledge in a given domain can't really act on that knowledge in a financial context, e.g. by recognizing that a company in their industry has a stock price totally out of line with the company's output and professional reputation. Or, maybe they can but only either for tiny amounts of money or at enormous risk to their own financial security. The only people who can do that with large amounts of money & limited risk are the exact people who have a stake in the stability of the overall system of financialized capital.

A lot of people in the online left take it as a given that the features which stabilize financialized capitalism arise via conspiracies aiming to preserve it, so it's worth saying that IMO this is (mostly) not a situation engineered via intentional conspiracy, it's survivorship bias: if the newer kind of capitalism which replaced the capitalism of the industrial revolution hadn't been so self-stabilizing it wouldn't have stuck around, and either Marx's predictions would have been right or it'd have been displaced by yet another different capitalism.


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in reply to @BlueSpaceCanary's post:

I think there are other examples of this as well. Just take the current recession—most people will need to hold on tight to their money as a matter of making ends meet. This means regular people won't have any money left to spend on property, savings etc, pushing their price down. However, if you're wealthy you might decide now is the perfect time to take a bigger position in the stock market or buy a summer house, investments that will likely appreciate a lot in a very short time. You don't even have to be clever about it, you just need to have enough money to be sure you'll stay liquid throughout the recession.