imagine vizier scheming but you think everyone else is just about as clever as you are, so all your hints and prodding are just way way too subtle. you're operating on ten levels of Vizinni's gambit but everyone else is at 1, so it just doesn't pan out. you're tryin to play 4D chess but you show up and the board is snakes & ladders.
Who was executed by Yuan Shao for being correct, including about his own execution, and embarrassing all his other advisors who were constantly wrong and plotting a way to get rid of him.