The ask in this thread mentions in passing "covid does seem to be going down overall" and I just want to point out that this is not accurate. The best data we have for actual COVID prevalence (in the US) is based on wastewater analysis, and the current effective wastewater levels are 859 copies/mL and climbing. That's worse than at any point before Omicron hit, worse than all but the highest levels since the Omicron spike as well, and 21x higher than the lowest point in May 2021. Just because people are ignoring it doesn't mean COVID is going down.

I'm not sure what this looks like outside the US because I'm not sure where to find the data, but given that travel is pretty easy again I would bet that the trend in developed countries largely follows the same curve.


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in reply to @nex3's post:

Yeah... this is a thing I've been thinking about too. It feels like a lot of people don't really know how to judge if COVID is actually going down overall or not. Which makes sense, but going from "I don't have a metric to judge this" to "it's not there" isn't... quite right