i realize it's outright paranoia to say this, but in splatoon 3 i get dc'ers on my team SO much more often than i get to win bc someone on the other team dc'd. naturally, the game cannot know if someone will dc in any given game, but when you dc you get a loss and people who remained in the game don't. but they can have wins stolen from them. thus

a lot of people i get teamed with dc -> i get matched with more dc'ers than not -> i get matched with people who have lowered win rates from dc'ing -> the game is teaming me up with people who have bad win rates for any reason whatsoever

tho one of those reasons would be "deprived of rightful wins from getting matched with dc'ers 1/3 of the time" so i probably am actually shit. if the game thinks it's right for me to lose all the time and i lose all the time then i'm not proving it wrong

realistically the truth is likely that this is a very wide skill bracket i get assigned matches in and i'm near the mid-lower end of it and lots of people are near the high end and still failing to break through to a rank where i wouldn't have to fight them